Tuesday, November 05, 2013

Why President Karzai Has to Sign the Bilateral Security Agreement --- While it is a usual practice bargaining for the sake of national interest and political gains in any negotiations, reaching a decision, however, on Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA) has been a challenging task. Apparently, President Karzai and Secretary Kerry reached a de facto agreement on this matter, but the thumbs-up is still to be given by the Consultative Loya Jirga (gathering of tribal elders) planned for November 19th. - Despite President Karzai's political posturing, nobody in the country fears that he would not sign the Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA) even though some foreign media outlets have been casting doubts on it, usually adding to the sensationalist and negative coverage of Afghan affairs. -- Political players, no matter what their party affiliation is, understand the vulnerability of Afghanistan's geopolitical position in terms of its long term security in the region. They also understand that there is, unfortunately, no reliable ally for Afghanistan in its immediate neighborhood. Iran -- a potential nuclear power, and Pakistan -- already a nuclear power, continue to see Afghanistan at their peripheral outlooks which define their relationship with enemies or allies. This political equation is unlikely to change in favor of Afghanistan in the foreseeable future. For decades, they have been involved in arming radical groups, trying to destabilize Afghanistan for their own interests and fueled ethno-linguistic and religious differences in order to increase their regional hegemony. --- Sealing BSA is extensively linked to President Karzai's post 2014 legacy. BSA is widely perceived as the single reason preventing Afghanistan from relapse into yet another civil war, and is the physiological guarantor of peaceful political transition in 2014 through democratic processes, elections. Although many notorious Afghan warlords are potential Presidential or Vice-President hopefuls, however, they can go rough and undermine the legitimacy and outcomes of the presidential elections in the absence of international forces, "President Karzai can't allow another chaotic civil war on his watch, and he is, undoubtedly, convinced that he needs full support of international forces to make things rights for Afghanistan next year," said a close member of President Karzia's inner circle with the condition of anonymity. - More, Hamid Saboory - HuffPost

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